Kaluga vs Gornyak Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.33

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostKalugaodds down 2.15Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.51.33Confidence 71%
HandicapWonGornyak +1.5Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKalugaodds down 1.68Confidence 56%
Double chanceLostKaluga or draw1.35Confidence 69%
Draw no betLostKaluga1.63Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.18Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDraw2.28Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.49Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kaluga 21

Gornyak

Final 1–3

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Decided in regulation

KAL to winTo win 54% GOR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–35%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–026%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-2-37-4-1

Home / road split3-1-25-3-0

StreakW2L4

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.22.8

Goals against1.52.3

In the standings—17th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.2+0.5

Goals for2.42.8

Goals against1.22.3

Shots on goal25.829.3

Shots against26.126.1

Shooting %9.3%9.6%

Save %95.4%91.6%

Power-play %14.3%12.1%

Penalty kill %93.5%79.2%

Faceoff %49.8%47.9%

Penalty minutes6.24.2

Blocked shots8.215.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Kaluga 4-0-1

Win, 5–1 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 16. Odds: Kaluga 2.02, Chelmet 2.95.
Win, 3–1 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 14. Odds: Kaluga 2.17, Magnitka 2.70.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Orsk, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.
Win, 3–1 at Perm, Oct 7.
Win, 1–0 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 5.

Gornyak 1-3-1

Loss, 1–4 at AKM, Oct 16. Odds: AKM 1.92, Gornyak 3.00.
Loss, 3–5 at Ryazan, Oct 14. Odds: Ryazan 2.55, Gornyak 2.26.
Loss, 2–3 against Bars, Oct 6.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Almetyevsk, after a shootout, Oct 4.
Win, 5–2 against CSK VVS, Oct 2.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period0-1

14:56 Goal Gornyak: Borisov S. assists: Miller N., Trofimov Y. 0-1

3rd period1-2

06:34 Goal Gornyak: Makeyev A. assists: Lukhovskoy N., Zaytsev O. 0-2
19:12 Goal Kaluga: Yusupov V. assists: Kolomiytsev I., Talaluyev I. 1-2
19:52 Goal Gornyak: Makeyev A. assists: Miller N., Trofimov Y. 1-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game losing streak for Gornyak coming into this game.
In goal: Kokaulin S. for Kaluga, Romashkin P. for Gornyak (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts).
4-0-1 in the last five for Kaluga.
Save % gap: Kaluga 95.4%, Gornyak 91.6% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	2.24	2.24	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.59	3.59	No change
1X2: 2 (GOR)	2.90	2.90	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kaluga vs Gornyak prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details