Kaluga vs Magnitka Magnitogorsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.29

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostMagnitkaodds down 2.80Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
HandicapWonKaluga +1.5Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)LostMagnitkaodds down 2.07Confidence 55%
Double chanceLostMagnitka or drawodds down 1.53Confidence 68%
Draw no betLostMagnitkaodds down 2.03Confidence 56%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.22Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.21Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 64%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kaluga 12

Magnitka

Final 3–1

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 26% Decided in regulation

MAG to winTo win 54% KAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–16%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–128%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-2-35-2-4

Home / road split1-1-22-2-2

StreakL1W1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for1.92.2

Goals against1.61.8

In the standings—23rd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.7+0.7

Goals for2.02.4

Goals against1.31.7

Shots on goal25.525.6

Shots against25.931.8

Shooting %7.8%9.4%

Save %95.0%95.0%

Power-play %13.3%12.9%

Penalty kill %94.3%95.7%

Faceoff %49.2%45.8%

Penalty minutes7.04.6

Blocked shots8.013.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Kaluga 4-0-1

Overtime loss, 1–2 against Orsk, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.
Win, 3–1 at Perm, Oct 7.
Win, 1–0 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 5.
Win, 3–1 at Izhevsk, Oct 3.
Win, 3–2 at Olympia, after overtime, Oct 1.

Magnitka 3-0-2

Win, 3–2 at AKM, Oct 12. Odds: AKM 1.78, Magnitka 3.40.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Ryazan, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Ryazan 2.40, Magnitka 2.42.
Win, 4–2 against Bars, Oct 2.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Almetyevsk, after overtime, Sep 30.
Win, 3–0 against CSK VVS, Sep 28.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

08:15 Goal Kaluga: Sorokin D. assists: Smolyov I., Meshkantsov Z. 1-0
17:50 Goal Magnitka Magnitogorsk: Kadyshev K. assists: Gololobov D., Demchenko V. 1-1

2nd period2-0

07:53 Goal Kaluga: Pavlyukov I. assists: Maltsev A. 2-1
12:04 Goal Kaluga: Mitrofanov A. assists: Kitsyn M., Pavlyukov I. 3-1

3rd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Kuznetsov G. for Kaluga (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Dyubin A. for Magnitka Magnitogorsk (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
4-0-1 in the last five for Kaluga.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	2.14	2.17	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	3.55	3.60	Drifted
1X2: 2 (MAG)	2.75	2.70	Shortened
Over/Under line	4.5	4	Line lowered

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kaluga vs Magnitka Magnitogorsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details