Kaluga vs Orsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.29

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostKaluga2.21Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
HandicapWonOrsk +1.5Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKaluga1.72Confidence 52%
Double chanceWonKaluga or drawodds down 1.39Confidence 67%
Draw no betPushKaluga1.70Confidence 53%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.20Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 65%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kaluga 21

Orsk

Final 1–2

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 26% Went to a shootout

KAL to winTo win 52% ORS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–16%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–028%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 10+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-2-27-1-3

Home / road split1-1-14-1-1

StreakW4L1

Rest4 days1 day

Goals for2.03.0

Goals against1.51.9

In the standings—10th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.0+1.5

Goals for2.23.0

Goals against1.21.5

Shots on goal26.025.5

Shots against26.229.8

Shooting %8.5%11.8%

Save %95.4%95.0%

Power-play %14.8%22.2%

Penalty kill %93.3%84.8%

Faceoff %47.1%51.5%

Penalty minutes6.07.2

Blocked shots8.09.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Kaluga 4-1-0

Win, 3–1 at Perm, Oct 7.
Win, 1–0 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 5.
Win, 3–1 at Izhevsk, Oct 3.
Win, 3–2 at Olympia, after overtime, Oct 1.
Loss, 2–3 against Kristall Saratov, Sep 27.

Orsk 4-1-0

Loss, 0–3 at AKM, Oct 10. Odds: AKM 1.80, Orsk 3.45.
Win, 3–2 at Ryazan, after overtime, Oct 8.
Win, 4–0 against Bars, Sep 30.
Win, 2–1 against Almetyevsk, Sep 28.
Win, 3–0 against CSK VVS, Sep 26.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

11:24 Goal Kaluga: Yusupov V. assists: Smirnov N. 1-0

2nd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

3rd period0-1

09:54 Goal Orsk: Beizak S. 1-1

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout1-2

Round 1 Pavlyukov I. scored Gimatov E. scored
Round 2 Litvinov I. missed Suslov K. missed
Round 3 Talaluyev I. missed Ugolnikov I. scored
Round 4 Mitrofanov A. missed Beizak S. missed
Round 5 Sorokin D. missed —

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for Kaluga coming into this game.
Rest advantage: 4 days off for Kaluga, 1 for Orsk.
In goal: Vladychek A. for Kaluga (3-0-2 in the last 5 starts), Pastukh V. for Orsk (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
4-1-0 in the last five for Orsk.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	2.27	2.23	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	3.65	3.60	Shortened
1X2: 2 (ORS)	2.55	2.60	Drifted
Over/Under line	4	4	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kaluga vs Orsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details