Khimik vs Kaluga Prediction & Picks

VHL Thursday, October 22, 2026Thu · Oct 22

HomeKhimik12-5-412th in the standingsOTWLLW

23 AP Puck drop 11:30 ET 1.754.10

1st 2nd 3rd OT SO

KHI 0 0 2 0 0

KAL 0 0 2 0 2

RussiaRussia

AwayKalugaLWWOTW

69%Khimik win · 56% in regulationKHI Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23% 31%Kaluga win · 21% in regulationKAL

Chance to win · 56% and 21% in regulation

Kuzmenko Y.StartedSV 93.8% · GAA 1.50 · 4-0-0

In goal

Kuznetsov G.StartedSV 96.3% · GAA 1.14 · 8-2-0

Best tip of the gameBest tip Winner (incl. OT) Lost

Khimik 1.47

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

1X2LostKhimikodds down 1.82Confidence 58%
Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.41Confidence 71%
HandicapWonKaluga +1.5Confidence 64%
Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostKhimikodds down 1.47Confidence 70%
Double chanceWonKhimik or drawodds down 1.22Confidence 80%
Draw no betPushKhimikodds down 1.35Confidence 74%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.21Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKhimikodds down 2.34Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.56Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Khimik 21

Kaluga

Final 2–3

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Went to a shootout

KHI to winTo win 69% KAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–26%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–021%chance
Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 0-1
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (5%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 15+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-4-39-3-3

Home / road split4-2-26-1-1

StreakL1L1

Rest1 day3 days

Goals for3.32.1

Goals against2.01.6

In the standings12th—

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.2+0.9

Goals for3.02.4

Goals against1.81.5

Shots on goal30.025.7

Shots against24.727.1

Shooting %10.0%9.3%

Save %93.1%94.5%

Power-play %18.9%12.9%

Penalty kill %97.4%93.9%

Faceoff %48.6%49.4%

Penalty minutes11.96.9

Blocked shots9.39.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Khimik 2-2-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 against AKM, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Khimik 2.01, AKM 3.21.
Win, 5–1 against Ryazan, Oct 18. Odds: Khimik 1.68, Ryazan 4.40.
Loss, 1–2 at Bars, Oct 10. Odds: Bars 3.35, Khimik 1.82.
Loss, 2–3 at Almetyevsk, Oct 8.
Win, 8–2 at CSK VVS, Oct 6.

Kaluga 3-1-1

Loss, 1–3 against Gornyak, Oct 18. Odds: Kaluga 2.24, Gornyak 2.90.
Win, 5–1 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 16. Odds: Kaluga 2.02, Chelmet 2.95.
Win, 3–1 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 14. Odds: Kaluga 2.17, Magnitka 2.70.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Orsk, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.
Win, 3–1 at Perm, Oct 7.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

3rd period2-2

04:48 Goal Khimik: Pashin A. assists: Varyushkin Y., Solovyov D. 1-0
11:53 Goal Khimik: Pashin A. assists: Solovyov D. 2-0
17:21 Goal Kaluga: Litvinov I. assists: Voronkov P., Gaitamirov T. 2-1
19:59 Goal Kaluga: Pavlyukov I. 2-2

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout0-2

Round 1 Petrov M. missed Meshkantsov N. missed
Round 2 Yarovoi S. missed Talaluyev I. scored
Round 3 Sysoev D. missed Pavlyukov I. missed
Round 4 Filimonov M. missed Kitsyn M. scored

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KHI)	1.75	1.75	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.88	3.88	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	4.10	4.10	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Khimik host Kaluga in the VHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Khimik vs Kaluga prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details