Krasnoyarsk vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg prediction
Chance to win · 23% and 53% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonSKA-VMFodds down 2.02Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostKrasnoyarsk +1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSKA-VMFodds down 1.59Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSKA-VMF or drawodds down 1.31Confidence 79%
- Draw no betWonSKA-VMFodds down 1.46Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.24Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 64%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min1–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–228%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 13, 2025: Krasnoyarsk 0, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 3.
- Dec 2, 2025: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 1, Krasnoyarsk 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, after overtime, Nov 6. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.41, Dinamo SPb 2.48.
- Win, 2–1 against Zvezda Moscow, Nov 4. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.25, Zvezda Moscow 2.65.
- Loss, 2–4 against Khimik, Nov 2. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 3.93, Khimik 1.79.
- Win, 3–0 at Gornyak, Oct 27. Odds: Gornyak 1.72, Krasnoyarsk 4.06.
- Win, 3–2 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 25. Odds: Chelmet 1.89, Krasnoyarsk 3.50.
- Win, 3–2 at HC Norilsk, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Norilsk 2.74, SKA-VMF 2.28.
- Win, 2–0 against Kaluga, Oct 28. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.83, Kaluga 3.94.
- Win, 5–0 against AKM, Oct 26. Odds: SKA-VMF 2.20, AKM 2.89.
- Win, 4–0 against Ryazan, Oct 24. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.82, Ryazan 3.68.
- Win, 4–0 at Bars, Oct 16. Odds: Bars 3.15, SKA-VMF 1.86.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 03:27 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Kozhukhov Y. assists: Tkachenko P. 0-1
- 13:20 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Kapchuk S. 0-2
2nd period1-1
- 17:05 Goal SHG SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Kapchuk S. 0-3
- 19:41 Goal Krasnoyarsk: Kazakov K. assists: Travin O., Kargin I. 1-3
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 2.3 per game — Krasnoyarsk +0.1, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg +2.4 over their recent games.
- Save % gap: Krasnoyarsk 93.9%, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 97.7% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KRA) | 3.34 | 3.34 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.82 | 3.82 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SVS) | 1.98 | 1.98 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4 | Line lowered |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Krasnoyarsk host SKA-VMF St. Petersburg in the VHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.