Kurgan vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Lost

Kurgan or draw 1.40

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostKurganodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO3.51.26Confidence 71%
HandicapWonChelmet +1.5Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKurganodds up 1.73Confidence 58%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostKurgan or draw1.40Confidence 70%
Draw no betLostKurganodds up 1.71Confidence 61%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.12Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.43Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.62Confidence 59%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kurgan 32

Chelmet

Final 3–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

KUR to winTo win 57% CHE won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–54%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–324%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-10-44-12-2

Home / road split2-6-32-8-1

StreakL1L1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for1.81.7

Goals against2.93.6

In the standings28th27th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−1.0−1.6

Goals for2.01.8

Goals against3.03.4

Shots on goal27.227.5

Shots against30.526.7

Shooting %7.4%6.5%

Save %90.8%87.6%

Power-play %5.3%13.3%

Penalty kill %80.6%81.3%

Faceoff %43.0%49.4%

Penalty minutes7.56.4

Blocked shots11.312.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Kurgan 31

Chelmet

Kurgan won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 KUR 3.3 · CHE 1.8

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 4 2 in overtime

Jan 12, 2026: Kurgan 5, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 1.
Nov 9, 2025: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3, Kurgan 4, after overtime.
Jan 30, 2025: Kurgan 2, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3, after overtime.
Oct 21, 2024: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 0, Kurgan 2.

Last five games

Kurgan 2-3-0

Loss, 0–3 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Nov 4. Odds: Kurgan 2.50, Magnitka 2.40.
Win, 4–3 against Orsk, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Kurgan 3.06, Orsk 2.12.
Loss, 1–3 at Perm, Oct 26. Odds: Perm 1.48, Kurgan 6.20.
Loss, 3–4 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
Win, 4–2 at Izhevsk, Oct 22. Odds: Izhevsk 1.91, Kurgan 3.58.

Chelmet 1-4-0

Loss, 1–2 at Omskie Krylia, Nov 4. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.45, Chelmet 5.50.
Win, 3–1 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 29. Odds: Chelmet 2.26, Dynamo Altay 2.73.
Loss, 1–3 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 27. Odds: Chelmet 4.29, Novokuznetsk 1.66.
Loss, 2–3 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 25. Odds: Chelmet 1.89, Krasnoyarsk 3.50.
Loss, 1–2 against HC Norilsk, Oct 23. Odds: Chelmet 2.55, Norilsk 2.33.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-3

02:23 Goal Kurgan: Rybakov V. assists: Gavrilenko I., Spitsenko K. 1-0
02:55 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Telegin N. assists: Tsyplakov G., Mokin M. 1-1
10:31 Goal SHG Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Yekimov N. assists: Shchekoldin K. 1-2
17:02 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Yekimov N. assists: Eust V., Zinovyev I. 1-3

2nd period0-1

06:29 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Tsyplakov G. 1-4

3rd period2-1

09:42 Goal PPG Kurgan: Rybakov V. assists: Ignatov S., Tarasov A. 2-4
16:37 Goal Kurgan: Kurkin M. assists: Gavrilenko I. 3-4
18:44 Goal ENG Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Golovnyov Y. 3-5

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

2-6-3 at home for Kurgan this season.
2-8-1 away for Chelmet Chelyabinsk this season.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Kurgan.
1-4-0 in the last five for Chelmet Chelyabinsk.
Save % gap: Kurgan 90.8%, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 87.6% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KUR)	2.22	2.24	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	3.98	3.98	No change
1X2: 2 (CHE)	2.74	2.71	Shortened
Over/Under line	4.5	5	Line raised

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kurgan vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details