Kurgan vs Dizel prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostDizelodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU5.51.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKurgan +1.5Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostDizelodds down 1.66Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostDizel or drawodds down 1.42Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostDizelodds down 1.63Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 65%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min4–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–029%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 10+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 13, 2025: Kurgan 1, Dizel 3.
- Dec 1, 2025: Dizel 1, Kurgan 0, after a shootout.
- Jan 24, 2025: Dizel 2, Kurgan 1, after a shootout.
- Oct 30, 2024: Kurgan 3, Dizel 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–3 against Tambov, Oct 11. Odds: Kurgan 2.25, Tambov 2.62.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Buran Voronezh, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kurgan 2.47, Buran Voronezh 2.32.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Rubin Tyumen, after a shootout, Oct 1.
- Loss, 0–3 against HC Yugra, Sep 29.
- Win, 3–2 at Dyn. Altay, after overtime, Sep 25.
- Loss, 2–3 at Omskie Krylia, Oct 11. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.59, Dizel 4.20.
- Win, 3–1 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 5.
- Loss, 0–2 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 3.
- Win, 2–0 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 1.
- Win, 5–0 against HC Norilsk, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:52 Goal PPG Kurgan: Shipin D. assists: Kolmagorov K., Rybakov V. 1-0
2nd period1-2
- 01:50 Goal Dizel: Opolinsky M. assists: Chesnokov G., Rudakov G. 1-1
- 06:30 Goal Dizel: Savunov D. assists: Mukhanov T., Gazizov R. 1-2
- 11:43 Goal Kurgan: Avvakumov I. assists: Kovyazin I., Pishchalnikov P. 2-2
3rd period2-1
- 07:00 Goal Kurgan: Shamshurin S. 3-2
- 08:00 Goal PPG Dizel: Mukhanov T. assists: Svishchyov K., Mingaleyev D. 3-3
- 19:53 Goal Kurgan: Pishchalnikov P. assists: Bogdanov A., Kovyazin I. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Kurgan coming into this game.
- 0-4-3 at home for Kurgan this season.
- 1-2-2 away for Dizel this season.
- In goal: Skovronsky A. for Kurgan (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts), Arzamastsev A. for Dizel (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Kurgan −1.2, Dizel −0.2 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KUR) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.65 | 3.65 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DIZ) | 2.13 | 2.13 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kurgan host Dizel in the VHL on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.