Kurgan vs Gornyak prediction
Chance to win · 28% and 48% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonGornyakodds down 2.30Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.37Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostKurgan +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGornyak1.56Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonGornyak or drawodds down 1.42Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonGornyak1.51Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.17Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.34Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min0–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–126%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 10, 2026: Kurgan 4, Gornyak 3, after overtime.
- Nov 11, 2025: Gornyak 4, Kurgan 3.
- Jan 28, 2025: Kurgan 1, Gornyak 2.
- Oct 23, 2024: Gornyak 6, Kurgan 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–5 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Nov 6. Odds: Kurgan 2.24, Chelmet 2.71.
- Loss, 0–3 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Nov 4. Odds: Kurgan 2.50, Magnitka 2.40.
- Win, 4–3 against Orsk, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Kurgan 3.06, Orsk 2.12.
- Loss, 1–3 at Perm, Oct 26. Odds: Perm 1.48, Kurgan 6.20.
- Loss, 3–4 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Omskie Krylia, after a shootout, Nov 6. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.62, Gornyak 4.44.
- Win, 3–2 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 31. Odds: Gornyak 1.83, Dynamo Altay 3.73.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Gornyak 3.14, Novokuznetsk 2.08.
- Loss, 0–3 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 27. Odds: Gornyak 1.72, Krasnoyarsk 4.06.
- Loss, 0–2 against HC Norilsk, Oct 25. Odds: Gornyak 1.97, Norilsk 3.32.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 15:22 Goal Gornyak: Lukhovskoy N. assists: Makhrin M. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 08:14 Goal Gornyak: Kuimov Y. assists: Sushchev V., Nekrasov N. 0-2
- 16:30 Goal Gornyak: Miller N. assists: Alexeyev Y., Anufriev I. 0-3
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 2-7-3 at home for Kurgan this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Gornyak.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Kurgan.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Gornyak.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KUR) | 3.12 | 3.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.94 | 3.95 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (GOR) | 2.03 | 1.99 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kurgan host Gornyak in the VHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.