Kurgan vs Kristall Saratov prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostKurganodds down 2.17Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.34Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKristall +1.5Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKurganodds down 1.70Confidence 57%
- Double chanceLostKurgan or draw1.37Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostKurgan1.66Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.16Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.33Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–224%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 11, 2025: Kurgan 1, Kristall Saratov 4.
- Nov 29, 2025: Kristall Saratov 2, Kurgan 1, after overtime.
- Jan 22, 2025: Kristall Saratov 3, Kurgan 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 28, 2024: Kurgan 0, Kristall Saratov 3.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Dizel, Oct 13. Odds: Kurgan 2.75, Dizel 2.13.
- Loss, 0–3 against Tambov, Oct 11. Odds: Kurgan 2.25, Tambov 2.62.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Buran Voronezh, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kurgan 2.47, Buran Voronezh 2.32.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Rubin Tyumen, after a shootout, Oct 1.
- Loss, 0–3 against HC Yugra, Sep 29.
- Loss, 1–7 at Omskie Krylia, Oct 13. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.40, Kristall 5.40.
- Win, 5–4 against Dyn. Altay, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Loss, 0–2 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 5.
- Win, 3–2 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against HC Norilsk, after a shootout, Oct 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 04:22 Goal Kristall Saratov: Egorov E. assists: Samoilov Y., Shitov A. 0-1
- 09:02 Goal Kristall Saratov: Polshakov Z. assists: Konkin D., Basin D. 0-2
2nd period1-1
- 17:30 Goal Kristall Saratov: Krasnov I. assists: Chervontsev N. 0-3
- 18:58 Goal Kurgan: Rybakov V. assists: Grymzin S., Luchenkov S. 1-3
3rd period1-1
- 12:39 Goal Kurgan: Luchenkov S. assists: Shipin D., Shamshurin S. 2-3
- 19:09 Goal ENG Kristall Saratov: Chervontsev N. assists: Semeneko M., Larichev V. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-4-3 at home for Kurgan this season.
- In goal: Skovronsky A. for Kurgan (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts), Yeryomenko M. for Kristall Saratov (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Kristall Saratov.
- −1.3 goals away — Kristall Saratov averaged 3.0 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Kurgan.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KUR) | 2.17 | 2.17 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KRI) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kurgan host Kristall Saratov in the VHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.