Kurgan vs Magnitka Magnitogorsk prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonMagnitkaodds down 2.42Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.51.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostKurgan +1.5Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMagnitkaodds down 1.85Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonMagnitka or drawodds down 1.47Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonMagnitka1.79Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.16Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.31Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.53Confidence 63%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min0–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–127%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 14, 2026: Kurgan 1, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 0, after a shootout.
- Nov 7, 2025: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 3, Kurgan 2, after a shootout.
- Feb 3, 2025: Kurgan 1, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2.
- Oct 17, 2024: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2, Kurgan 3.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Orsk, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Kurgan 3.06, Orsk 2.12.
- Loss, 1–3 at Perm, Oct 26. Odds: Perm 1.48, Kurgan 6.20.
- Loss, 3–4 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
- Win, 4–2 at Izhevsk, Oct 22. Odds: Izhevsk 1.91, Kurgan 3.58.
- Loss, 1–3 at Olympia, Oct 20. Odds: Olympia 2.15, Kurgan 3.00.
- Loss, 0–1 at Omskie Krylia, Nov 2. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.82, Magnitka 3.84.
- Loss, 2–3 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 27. Odds: Magnitka 1.74, Dynamo Altay 3.95.
- Loss, 0–3 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 25. Odds: Magnitka 3.65, Novokuznetsk 1.89.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Krasnoyarsk, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Magnitka 1.86, Krasnoyarsk 3.73.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against HC Norilsk, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Magnitka 2.16, Norilsk 3.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 10:09 Goal Magnitka Magnitogorsk: Boltanov A. assists: Rubin A., Monakhov A. 0-1
2nd period0-1
- 06:04 Goal PPG Magnitka Magnitogorsk: Kadyshev K. assists: Osipovich B., Gololobov D. 0-2
3rd period0-1
- 19:47 Goal ENG Magnitka Magnitogorsk: Galenyuk M. assists: Osipovich B. 0-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Magnitka Magnitogorsk coming into this game.
- 2-5-3 at home for Kurgan this season.
- 2-4-2 away for Magnitka Magnitogorsk this season.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 3.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KUR) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.60 | 3.60 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAG) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kurgan host Magnitka Magnitogorsk in the VHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.