Kurgan vs Orsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Orsk or draw 1.33

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostOrsk2.02Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
HandicapWonKurgan +1.5Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostOrsk1.61Confidence 61%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonOrsk or draw1.33Confidence 71%
Draw no betPushOrskConfidence 63%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 64%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kurgan 12

Orsk

Final 4–3

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Went to overtime

ORS to winTo win 59% KUR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–36%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–028%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 17+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-9-410-2-5

Home / road split1-5-35-1-2

StreakL2L2

Rest5 days1 day

Goals for1.82.7

Goals against2.92.1

In the standings28th10th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−1.0+0.2

Goals for1.92.1

Goals against2.91.9

Shots on goal27.423.7

Shots against30.925.7

Shooting %6.9%8.9%

Save %90.9%92.6%

Power-play %7.5%11.1%

Penalty kill %82.4%86.1%

Faceoff %43.7%40.6%

Penalty minutes7.17.8

Blocked shots11.36.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Kurgan 40

Orsk

Kurgan won four of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.5 KUR 3.0 · ORS 1.5

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 4 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Jan 16, 2026: Kurgan 3, Orsk 1.
Nov 5, 2025: Orsk 1, Kurgan 3.
Feb 1, 2025: Kurgan 3, Orsk 2, after overtime.
Oct 19, 2024: Orsk 2, Kurgan 3, after a shootout.

Last five games

Kurgan 1-4-0

Loss, 1–3 at Perm, Oct 26. Odds: Perm 1.48, Kurgan 6.20.
Loss, 3–4 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
Win, 4–2 at Izhevsk, Oct 22. Odds: Izhevsk 1.91, Kurgan 3.58.
Loss, 1–3 at Olympia, Oct 20. Odds: Olympia 2.15, Kurgan 3.00.
Loss, 2–4 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 15. Odds: Kurgan 2.17, Kristall 2.65.

Orsk 2-1-2

Overtime loss, 2–3 at Omskie Krylia, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.52, Orsk 5.80.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Dyn. Altay, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Orsk 1.69, Dynamo Altay 4.40.
Win, 2–1 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 23. Odds: Orsk 3.00, Novokuznetsk 2.12.
Loss, 1–3 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 21. Odds: Orsk 1.91, Krasnoyarsk 3.60.
Win, 3–2 against HC Norilsk, Oct 19. Odds: Orsk 2.32, Norilsk 2.75.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-0

02:27 Goal Kurgan: Sokolov A. assists: Gavrilenko I. 1-0
17:31 Goal Kurgan: Shamshurin S. assists: Klimov D. 2-0

2nd period1-2

00:57 Goal Kurgan: Pishchalnikov P. assists: Bochkov I. 3-0
02:06 Goal Orsk: Bryntsev M. assists: Nizovkin M. 3-1
05:26 Goal PPG Orsk: Gimatov E. assists: Vasin I., Boychuk D. 3-2

3rd period0-1

17:17 Goal Orsk: Suslov K. assists: Vasin I., Lapshin I. 3-3

Overtime1-0

01:50 Goal Kurgan: Sokolov A. assists: Shiryayev I. 4-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 5 days off for Kurgan, 1 for Orsk.
1-5-3 at home for Kurgan this season.
4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Kurgan.
In goal: Nikishin M. for Kurgan (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Pastukh V. for Orsk (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Kurgan −1.0, Orsk +0.2 over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KUR)	3.06	3.06	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.67	3.67	No change
1X2: 2 (ORS)	2.12	2.12	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kurgan vs Orsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details