Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Dinamo St. Petersburg prediction
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5–, Dinamo St. Petersburg 2
FT
Puck drop 01:00 ET
1X2 1.631X2 4.30
RussiaRussia
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
MET
2
2
1
DSP
1
1
0
68%Metallurg Novokuznetsk win · 56% in regulationMET
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
32%Dinamo St. Petersburg win · 22% in regulationDSP
Chance to win · 56% and 22% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Winner (incl. OT)
Won
Novokuznetsk
odds down 1.36
Confidence70%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonNovokuznetskodds down 1.65Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostDinamo SPb +1.5Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonNovokuznetskodds down 1.36Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonNovokuznetsk or drawodds down 1.18Confidence 79%
- Draw no betWonNovokuznetskodds down 1.28Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.16Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNovokuznetskodds down 2.16Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.58Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Novokuznetsk 3–2
Dinamo SPb
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
MET to winTo win
68%
MET won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–121%chance
- Highest scoring periodWonTieMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Season recordMetallurg Novokuznetsk 13-6-3Dinamo St. Petersburg 9-7-3
Home / road splitMetallurg Novokuznetsk 6-3-2Dinamo St. Petersburg 5-5-2
StreakMetallurg Novokuznetsk W1Dinamo St. Petersburg W1
RestMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1 dayDinamo St. Petersburg 1 day
Goals forMetallurg Novokuznetsk 2.4Dinamo St. Petersburg 2.7
Goals againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1.6Dinamo St. Petersburg 2.9
In the standingsMetallurg Novokuznetsk 8thDinamo St. Petersburg 19th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMetallurg Novokuznetsk +0.6Dinamo St. Petersburg +0.1
Goals forMetallurg Novokuznetsk 2.7Dinamo St. Petersburg 2.4
Goals againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 2.1Dinamo St. Petersburg 2.3
Shots on goalMetallurg Novokuznetsk 30.0Dinamo St. Petersburg 29.3
Shots againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 27.0Dinamo St. Petersburg 26.6
Shooting %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 9.0%Dinamo St. Petersburg 8.2%
Save %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 92.2%Dinamo St. Petersburg 91.7%
Power-play %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 21.6%Dinamo St. Petersburg 9.4%
Penalty kill %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 93.9%Dinamo St. Petersburg 88.2%
Faceoff %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 48.1%Dinamo St. Petersburg 55.0%
Penalty minutesMetallurg Novokuznetsk 7.2Dinamo St. Petersburg 6.4
Blocked shotsMetallurg Novokuznetsk 14.8Dinamo St. Petersburg 12.8
Per game · MET at home, DSP away
Goal differential per gameMetallurg Novokuznetsk +0.9Dinamo St. Petersburg −0.6
Goals forMetallurg Novokuznetsk 2.8Dinamo St. Petersburg 2.4
Goals againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1.9Dinamo St. Petersburg 3.0
Shots on goalMetallurg Novokuznetsk 31.5Dinamo St. Petersburg 30.0
Shots againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 25.8Dinamo St. Petersburg 27.4
Shooting %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 8.9%Dinamo St. Petersburg 8.0%
Save %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 92.6%Dinamo St. Petersburg 90.1%
Power-play %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 16.3%Dinamo St. Petersburg 2.6%
Penalty kill %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 93.8%Dinamo St. Petersburg 88.2%
Faceoff %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 53.3%Dinamo St. Petersburg 51.3%
Penalty minutesMetallurg Novokuznetsk 10.8Dinamo St. Petersburg 7.1
Blocked shotsMetallurg Novokuznetsk 16.1Dinamo St. Petersburg 12.1
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Novokuznetsk 2–2
Dinamo SPb
Goals a gameGoals
5.0
MET 2.8 · DSP 2.3
Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0
2 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 4
All decided in regulation
- Dec 13, 2025: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4, Dinamo St. Petersburg 2.
- Dec 2, 2025: Dinamo St. Petersburg 2, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4.
- Feb 17, 2025: Dinamo St. Petersburg 2, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1.
- Oct 2, 2024: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2, Dinamo St. Petersburg 3.
Last five games
Novokuznetsk
4-1-0 - Win, 6–3 against Zvezda Moscow, Nov 6. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.54, Zvezda Moscow 4.95.
- Loss, 5–6 against Khimik, Nov 4. Odds: Novokuznetsk 2.17, Khimik 2.75.
- Win, 4–3 at Gornyak, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Gornyak 3.14, Novokuznetsk 2.08.
- Win, 3–1 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 27. Odds: Chelmet 4.29, Novokuznetsk 1.66.
- Win, 3–0 at Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 25. Odds: Magnitka 3.65, Novokuznetsk 1.89.
Dinamo SPb
3-0-2 - Win, 2–1 at Krasnoyarsk, after overtime, Nov 6. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.41, Dinamo SPb 2.48.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at HC Norilsk, after a shootout, Nov 3. Odds: Norilsk 1.80, Dinamo SPb 3.40.
- Win, 3–0 against Kaluga, Oct 26. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.61, Kaluga 2.38.
- Win, 2–1 against AKM, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.85, AKM 2.13.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Ryazan, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.15, Ryazan 2.90.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 05:57 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Perevalov A. 1-0
- 06:11 Goal Dinamo St. Petersburg: Kozlov I. assists: Pletnev V., Mikhailov V. 1-1
- 13:04 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Spiridonov Y. assists: Galimov E. 2-1
2nd period2-1
- 06:55 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Perevalov A. 3-1
- 07:26 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Spiridonov Y. assists: Ospanov R., Galimov E. 4-1
- 18:46 Goal PPG Dinamo St. Petersburg: Berdyukov G. assists: Anokhovsky N., Rasskazov K. 4-2
3rd period1-0
- 17:41 Goal ENG Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Ospanov R. assists: Podkorytov A. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- +0.9 goals at home — Metallurg Novokuznetsk averaged 2.8 at home and 1.9 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Metallurg Novokuznetsk.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 8th vs 19th in the VHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MET) | 1.63 | 1.63 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DSP) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5 | Line raised |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omskie Krylia |
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 |
| 2 |  AKM |
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 |  Almetyevsk |
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 |
| 5 |  Perm |
22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 |
| 6 |  Toros Neftekamsk |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 7 |  SKA-VMF St. Petersburg |
20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 |
| 8 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 |
| 9 |  HC Yugra |
22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 |
| 10 |  Orsk |
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 |  Khimik |
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 |
| 13 |  Kristall Saratov |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 14 |  Buran Voronezh |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 |
| 15 |  Ryazan |
23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 |
| 16 |  Tambov |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 17 |  Gornyak |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 |
| 18 |  Bars |
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg |
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 |
| 20 |  Olympia |
22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 |
| 21 |  Rubin Tyumen |
22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 |
| 22 |  Dyn. Altay |
22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 |
| 23 |  Magnitka Magnitogorsk |
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 24 |  Krasnoyarsk |
23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 |
| 25 |  Dizel |
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 |
| 26 |  Zvezda Moscow |
21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 |
| 27 |  Chelmet Chelyabinsk |
21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 |
| 28 |  Kurgan |
21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 |
| 29 |  Izhevsk |
22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 |
| 30 |  CSK VVS |
21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk host Dinamo St. Petersburg in the VHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.