Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Izhevsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip 1X2 Lost

Novokuznetsk 1.47

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Full game

Best tip of the game: 1X2LostNovokuznetsk1.47Confidence 65%
Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
HandicapWonIzhevsk +1.5Confidence 56%
Winner (incl. OT)WonNovokuznetskodds down 1.26Confidence 77%
Double chanceWonNovokuznetsk or drawodds up 1.12Confidence 83%
Draw no betPushNovokuznetsk1.21Confidence 79%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.22Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostNovokuznetsk2.07Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.53Confidence 59%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Novokuznetsk 32

Izhevsk

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Went to a shootout

MET to winTo win 75% MET won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-1
Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (0%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 17+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-3-33-8-1

Home / road split3-1-20-5-0

StreakW3L3

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for1.82.3

Goals against1.13.1

In the standings8th29th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.8−0.8

Goals for1.92.0

Goals against1.12.8

Shots on goal28.926.6

Shots against19.031.0

Shooting %6.6%7.5%

Save %94.7%92.3%

Power-play %9.4%8.8%

Penalty kill %97.5%76.9%

Faceoff %54.1%45.5%

Penalty minutes8.95.2

Blocked shots13.910.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Novokuznetsk 31

Izhevsk

Metallurg Novokuznetsk won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.3 MET 3.8 · IZH 2.5

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 4 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Jan 17, 2026: Izhevsk 2, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3, after a shootout.
Nov 3, 2025: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1, Izhevsk 3.
Jan 12, 2025: Izhevsk 0, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5.
Nov 10, 2024: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 6, Izhevsk 5, after overtime.

Last five games

Novokuznetsk 3-1-1

Win, 2–0 against Olympia, Oct 11. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.49, Olympia 4.75.
Win, 2–0 at Kristall Saratov, Oct 5.
Win, 2–0 at Dizel, Oct 3.
Loss, 0–3 at Tambov, Oct 1.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Buran Voronezh, after a shootout, Sep 29.

Izhevsk 2-3-0

Loss, 2–3 at Krasnoyarsk, Oct 11. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.22, Izhevsk 2.62.
Loss, 2–3 at HC Norilsk, Oct 8.
Loss, 1–3 against Kaluga, Oct 3.
Win, 4–3 against AKM, after overtime, Oct 1.
Win, 3–2 against Ryazan, after a shootout, Sep 29.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period2-2

03:39 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Podkorytov A. assists: Demidov S., Kryukov T. 1-0
08:00 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Vasilkov A. assists: Aliyev R., Grzheletsky M. 2-0
08:30 Goal Izhevsk: Kovalyov A. assists: Zubarev A., Alekseev A. 2-1
18:50 Goal PPG Izhevsk: Zhdanov Y. assists: Glebov G., Maklozyan Y. 2-2

3rd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout3-2

Round 1 Podkorytov A. missed Kovalyov A. missed
Round 2 Vasilkov A. missed Pukelo K. scored
Round 3 Gerasimov S. missed Maklozyan Y. missed
Round 4 Aliyev R. scored Astashevsky S. missed
Round 5 Demidov S. missed Gordin A. missed
Round 6 Aliyev R. missed Pukelo K. missed
Round 7 Demidov S. scored Kovalyov A. scored
Round 8 Demidov S. missed Kovalyov A. missed
Round 9 Gerasimov S. scored Pukelo K. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game winning streak for Metallurg Novokuznetsk coming into this game.
3-game losing streak for Izhevsk coming into this game.
0-5-0 away for Izhevsk this season.
In goal: Lozebnikov D. for Metallurg Novokuznetsk (6-1-3 in the last 10 starts), Sukhachyov V. for Izhevsk (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Metallurg Novokuznetsk +0.8, Izhevsk −0.8 over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (MET)	1.63	1.63	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (IZH)	4.75	4.75	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Izhevsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details