Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Lost

Novokuznetsk or draw 1.39

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostNovokuznetskodds up 2.22Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
HandicapWonSKA-VMF +1.5Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)LostNovokuznetskodds up 1.76Confidence 54%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostNovokuznetsk or drawodds up 1.39Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostNovokuznetskodds up 1.74Confidence 56%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.20Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDraw2.26Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 64%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Novokuznetsk 21

SKA-VMF

Final 0–1

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 1

Draw after 60 minDraw 26% Decided in regulation

MET to winTo win 53% SVS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min0–16%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–028%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 1 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record14-6-314-4-1

Home / road split7-3-27-3-1

StreakW2W6

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.52.8

Goals against1.61.4

In the standings8th—

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.7+2.4

Goals for3.02.9

Goals against2.30.5

Shots on goal30.429.8

Shots against28.121.2

Shooting %9.9%9.7%

Save %91.8%97.6%

Power-play %23.5%9.1%

Penalty kill %90.3%93.8%

Faceoff %49.4%49.0%

Penalty minutes6.86.7

Blocked shots14.39.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Novokuznetsk 20

SKA-VMF

Metallurg Novokuznetsk won two of the last two meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.5 MET 4.5 · SVS 1.0

Over 4.0 goalsOver 4.0 1 of 2 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 2 All decided in regulation

Dec 15, 2025: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 6, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 1.
Dec 4, 2025: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 1, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3.

Last five games

Novokuznetsk 4-1-0

Win, 5–2 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Nov 8. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.63, Dinamo SPb 4.30.
Win, 6–3 against Zvezda Moscow, Nov 6. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.54, Zvezda Moscow 4.95.
Loss, 5–6 against Khimik, Nov 4. Odds: Novokuznetsk 2.17, Khimik 2.75.
Win, 4–3 at Gornyak, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Gornyak 3.14, Novokuznetsk 2.08.
Win, 3–1 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 27. Odds: Chelmet 4.29, Novokuznetsk 1.66.

SKA-VMF 5-0-0

Win, 3–1 at Krasnoyarsk, Nov 8. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 3.34, SKA-VMF 1.98.
Win, 3–2 at HC Norilsk, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Norilsk 2.74, SKA-VMF 2.28.
Win, 2–0 against Kaluga, Oct 28. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.83, Kaluga 3.94.
Win, 5–0 against AKM, Oct 26. Odds: SKA-VMF 2.20, AKM 2.89.
Win, 4–0 against Ryazan, Oct 24. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.82, Ryazan 3.68.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period0-1

08:01 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Filippov A. assists: Gryaznov G., Shekhovtsov Y. 0-1

3rd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

6-game winning streak for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg coming into this game.
Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Metallurg Novokuznetsk +0.7, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg +2.4 over their recent games.
+1.1 goals at home — Metallurg Novokuznetsk averaged 3.0 at home and 1.9 away this season.
4-1-0 in the last five for Metallurg Novokuznetsk.
Save % gap: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 91.8%, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 97.6% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (MET)	2.35	2.35	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.75	3.75	No change
1X2: 2 (SVS)	2.60	2.60	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4	Line lowered

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details