Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Toros Neftekamsk prediction
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3–, Toros Neftekamsk 2
AP
Puck drop 08:00 ET
1X2 1.581X2 4.20
RussiaRussia
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
SO
MET
1
1
0
0
3
TOR
0
2
0
0
2
69%Metallurg Novokuznetsk win · 56% in regulationMET
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
31%Toros Neftekamsk win · 21% in regulationTOR
Chance to win · 56% and 21% in regulation
Vinogradov Z.StartedSV 94.4% · GAA 1.33 · 5-5-0
Bai Y.StartedSV 92.3% · GAA 2.25 · 4-3-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Winner (incl. OT)
Won
Novokuznetsk
odds down 1.40
Confidence70%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2LostNovokuznetskodds down 1.71Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.34Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonToros +1.5Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonNovokuznetskodds down 1.40Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonNovokuznetsk or drawodds down 1.18Confidence 80%
- Draw no betPushNovokuznetskodds down 1.27Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.22Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNovokuznetskodds down 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.51Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Novokuznetsk 2–1
Toros
Total goalsTotal
3
Actual 5
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Went to a shootout
MET to winTo win
69%
MET won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–022%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 0-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 13+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Toros Neftekamsk
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Toros Neftekamsk
Season recordMetallurg Novokuznetsk 8-3-3Toros Neftekamsk 6-5-2
Home / road splitMetallurg Novokuznetsk 4-1-2Toros Neftekamsk 3-2-0
StreakMetallurg Novokuznetsk W4Toros Neftekamsk L4
RestMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1 dayToros Neftekamsk 1 day
Goals forMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1.9Toros Neftekamsk 2.3
Goals againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1.1Toros Neftekamsk 2.4
In the standingsMetallurg Novokuznetsk 8thToros Neftekamsk 6th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMetallurg Novokuznetsk +1.0Toros Neftekamsk −0.4
Goals forMetallurg Novokuznetsk 2.0Toros Neftekamsk 2.2
Goals againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1.0Toros Neftekamsk 2.6
Shots on goalMetallurg Novokuznetsk 29.3Toros Neftekamsk 24.8
Shots againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 20.3Toros Neftekamsk 26.8
Shooting %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 6.8%Toros Neftekamsk 8.9%
Save %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 95.1%Toros Neftekamsk 90.7%
Power-play %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 9.1%Toros Neftekamsk 21.1%
Penalty kill %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 94.9%Toros Neftekamsk 75.0%
Faceoff %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 52.1%Toros Neftekamsk 52.7%
Penalty minutesMetallurg Novokuznetsk 8.4Toros Neftekamsk 6.8
Blocked shotsMetallurg Novokuznetsk 13.6Toros Neftekamsk 7.1
Per game · MET at home, TOR away
Goal differential per gameMetallurg Novokuznetsk +0.4Toros Neftekamsk +0.6
Goals forMetallurg Novokuznetsk 2.0Toros Neftekamsk 2.8
Goals againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1.6Toros Neftekamsk 2.2
Shots on goalMetallurg Novokuznetsk 32.4Toros Neftekamsk 26.4
Shots againstMetallurg Novokuznetsk 24.8Toros Neftekamsk 30.0
Shooting %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 6.2%Toros Neftekamsk 10.6%
Save %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 94.4%Toros Neftekamsk 93.3%
Power-play %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 8.1%Toros Neftekamsk 37.5%
Penalty kill %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 93.5%Toros Neftekamsk 71.4%
Faceoff %Metallurg Novokuznetsk 53.4%Toros Neftekamsk 47.9%
Penalty minutesMetallurg Novokuznetsk 10.4Toros Neftekamsk 8.4
Blocked shotsMetallurg Novokuznetsk 15.0Toros Neftekamsk 9.0
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Novokuznetsk 4–0
Toros
Goals a gameGoals
5.8
MET 4.3 · TOR 1.5
Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5
3 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in a shootout
- Jan 19, 2026: Toros Neftekamsk 4, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5, after a shootout.
- Nov 1, 2025: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3, Toros Neftekamsk 0.
- Jan 14, 2025: Toros Neftekamsk 1, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5.
- Nov 8, 2024: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4, Toros Neftekamsk 1.
Last five games
Novokuznetsk
4-1-0 - Win, 3–2 against Izhevsk, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.63, Izhevsk 4.75.
- Win, 2–0 against Olympia, Oct 11. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.49, Olympia 4.75.
- Win, 2–0 at Kristall Saratov, Oct 5.
- Win, 2–0 at Dizel, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–3 at Tambov, Oct 1.
Toros
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–2 at Krasnoyarsk, Oct 13. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.99, Toros 2.15.
- Loss, 3–5 at HC Norilsk, Oct 10. Odds: Norilsk 2.30, Toros 2.52.
- Loss, 0–1 against Kaluga, Oct 5.
- Loss, 0–3 against AKM, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–0 against Ryazan, Oct 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:14 Goal PPG Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Apalkov D. assists: Manukyan A., Teryayev S. 1-0
2nd period1-2
- 08:20 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Manukyan A. assists: Shablovsky Z. 2-0
- 11:28 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Sidlyarov D. assists: Khvorov N., Skoropad N. 2-1
- 14:47 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Kolesnikov S. assists: Volokitin P., Korbit P. 2-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout3-2
-
Round 1
Apalkov D.
✗missed
Kolesnikov S.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Filatyev A.
✗missed
Khvorov N.
✓scored
-
Round 3
Grzheletsky M.
✓scored
Babenko M.
✓scored
-
Round 4
Gerasimov S.
✗missed
Sidlyarov D.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Aliyev R.
✓scored
Skoropad N.
✗missed
-
Round 6
Aliyev R.
✗missed
Khvorov N.
✗missed
-
Round 7
Podkorytov A.
✓scored
Kolesnikov S.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Metallurg Novokuznetsk coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Toros Neftekamsk coming into this game.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Metallurg Novokuznetsk.
- In goal: Vinogradov Z. for Metallurg Novokuznetsk (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Bai Y. for Toros Neftekamsk (4-3-1 in the last 8 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Metallurg Novokuznetsk +1.0, Toros Neftekamsk −0.4 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MET) | 1.58 | 1.58 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TOR) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omskie Krylia |
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 |
| 2 |  AKM |
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 |  Almetyevsk |
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 |
| 5 |  Perm |
22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 |
| 6 | Toros Neftekamsk |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 7 |  SKA-VMF St. Petersburg |
20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 |
| 8 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 |
| 9 |  HC Yugra |
22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 |
| 10 |  Orsk |
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 |  Khimik |
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 |
| 13 |  Kristall Saratov |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 14 |  Buran Voronezh |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 |
| 15 |  Ryazan |
23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 |
| 16 |  Tambov |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 17 |  Gornyak |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 |
| 18 |  Bars |
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 |
| 19 |  Dinamo St. Petersburg |
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 |
| 20 |  Olympia |
22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 |
| 21 |  Rubin Tyumen |
22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 |
| 22 |  Dyn. Altay |
22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 |
| 23 |  Magnitka Magnitogorsk |
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 24 |  Krasnoyarsk |
23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 |
| 25 |  Dizel |
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 |
| 26 |  Zvezda Moscow |
21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 |
| 27 |  Chelmet Chelyabinsk |
21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 |
| 28 |  Kurgan |
21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 |
| 29 |  Izhevsk |
22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 |
| 30 |  CSK VVS |
21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk host Toros Neftekamsk in the VHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.