Olympia vs Kurgan prediction
Chance to win · 47% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonOlympiaodds down 2.15Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.37Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostKurgan +1.5Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonOlympiaodds down 1.69Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonOlympia or draw1.36Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonOlympia1.64Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.18Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.30Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.54Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–026%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 13+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 24, 2025: Olympia 0, Kurgan 3.
- Nov 17, 2025: Kurgan 2, Olympia 3, after overtime.
- Feb 28, 2025: Olympia 2, Kurgan 4.
- Sep 22, 2024: Kurgan 5, Olympia 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–3 against Omskie Krylia, Oct 18. Odds: Olympia 4.10, Omskie Krylia 1.75.
- Win, 4–1 at Dyn. Altay, Oct 13. Odds: Dynamo Altay 1.95, Olympia 3.37.
- Loss, 0–2 at Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 11. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.49, Olympia 4.75.
- Win, 4–3 at Krasnoyarsk, Oct 9. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.10, Olympia 2.77.
- Loss, 2–3 at HC Norilsk, Oct 6.
- Loss, 2–4 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 15. Odds: Kurgan 2.17, Kristall 2.65.
- Win, 4–3 against Dizel, Oct 13. Odds: Kurgan 2.75, Dizel 2.13.
- Loss, 0–3 against Tambov, Oct 11. Odds: Kurgan 2.25, Tambov 2.62.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Buran Voronezh, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kurgan 2.47, Buran Voronezh 2.32.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Rubin Tyumen, after a shootout, Oct 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 14:42 Goal PPG Olympia: Konov V. assists: Kamenev V., Darin 1-0
- 19:50 Goal PPG Olympia: Lapin S. assists: Dyuryagin D., Putintsev V. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 05:50 Goal Olympia: Ponomaryov T. assists: Konov V., Lyakhov A. 3-0
3rd period0-1
- 05:58 Goal Kurgan: Pishchalnikov P. assists: Grymzin S., Spitsenko K. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Kurgan, 1 for Olympia.
- In goal: Kuzin A. S. for Olympia (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts), Skovronsky A. for Kurgan (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Kurgan.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Kurgan.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OLY) | 2.14 | 2.15 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.68 | 3.67 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (KUR) | 3.03 | 3.00 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Olympia host Kurgan in the VHL on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.