Omskie Krylia vs Orsk prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2LostOmskie Kryliaodds down 1.72Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonOrsk +1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonOmskie Kryliaodds down 1.29Confidence 68%
- Double chanceWonOmskie Krylia or drawodds down 1.21Confidence 77%
- Draw no betPushOmskie KryliaConfidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 63%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–128%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 16+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 18, 2026: Omskie Krylia 2, Orsk 1.
- Nov 7, 2025: Orsk 1, Omskie Krylia 2.
- Feb 3, 2025: Omskie Krylia 1, Orsk 2, after overtime.
- Oct 17, 2024: Orsk 1, Omskie Krylia 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Perm, Oct 24. Odds: Perm 2.43, Omskie Krylia 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 22. Odds: Toros 3.53, Omskie Krylia 1.92.
- Win, 3–0 at Izhevsk, Oct 20. Odds: Izhevsk 3.82, Omskie Krylia 1.82.
- Win, 3–2 at Olympia, Oct 18. Odds: Olympia 4.10, Omskie Krylia 1.75.
- Win, 7–1 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 13. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.40, Kristall 5.40.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Dyn. Altay, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Orsk 1.69, Dynamo Altay 4.40.
- Win, 2–1 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 23. Odds: Orsk 3.00, Novokuznetsk 2.12.
- Loss, 1–3 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 21. Odds: Orsk 1.91, Krasnoyarsk 3.60.
- Win, 3–2 against HC Norilsk, Oct 19. Odds: Orsk 2.32, Norilsk 2.75.
- Win, 2–1 at Kaluga, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 03:25 Goal Orsk: Ugolnikov I. assists: Grebenshchikov S., Vasin I. 0-1
2nd period1-1
- 16:38 Goal Omskie Krylia: Zaikin A. assists: Golodnyuk E., Petrishchev R. 1-1
- 19:27 Goal Orsk: Beizak S. assists: Lineitsev D., Shindyaev K. 1-2
3rd period1-0
- 18:41 Goal PPG Omskie Krylia: Protapovich A. assists: Pavlikov M., Stepanov Y. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Protapovich A.
✓scored
Gimatov E.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Loktev A.
✗missed
Boychuk D.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Tagirov K.
✗missed
Ugolnikov I.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Stepanov Y.
✗missed
Nikolenko L.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Kazakov M.
✗missed
Beizak S.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Omskie Krylia coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Omskie Krylia dropped from 1.39 to 1.29 since they were first published.
- In goal: Yaroslavlev Y. for Omskie Krylia (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Nikitin V. for Orsk (5-1-4 in the last 10 starts).
- 7-2-0 at home for Omskie Krylia this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Omskie Krylia +1.9, Orsk +0.5 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (OMS) | 1.91 | 1.52 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 4.10 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (ORS) | 3.30 | 5.80 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Omskie Krylia host Orsk in the VHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.