Orsk vs HC Norilsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.35

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonOrskodds up 2.02Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
HandicapWonNorilsk +1.5Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)WonOrskodds up 1.59Confidence 62%
Double chanceWonOrsk or drawodds down 1.36Confidence 73%
Draw no betWonOrskodds down 1.64Confidence 65%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.17Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDraw2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 63%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Orsk 21

Norilsk

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Decided in regulation

ORS to winTo win 61% ORS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–26%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–227%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-1-39-4-2

Home / road split3-0-22-2-0

StreakW1W5

Rest6 days6 days

Goals for2.92.3

Goals against1.82.2

In the standings10th—

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.5+0.1

Goals for3.02.4

Goals against1.52.3

Shots on goal26.428.8

Shots against28.630.7

Shooting %11.4%8.3%

Save %94.8%92.8%

Power-play %18.9%32.1%

Penalty kill %88.2%73.7%

Faceoff %50.7%50.0%

Penalty minutes7.43.8

Blocked shots9.08.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Orsk 4-1-0

Win, 2–1 at Kaluga, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.
Loss, 0–3 at AKM, Oct 10. Odds: AKM 1.80, Orsk 3.45.
Win, 3–2 at Ryazan, after overtime, Oct 8.
Win, 4–0 against Bars, Sep 30.
Win, 2–1 against Almetyevsk, Sep 28.

Norilsk 5-0-0

Win, 3–1 against Perm, Oct 12. Odds: Norilsk 2.50, Perm 2.28.
Win, 5–3 against Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 10. Odds: Norilsk 2.30, Toros 2.52.
Win, 3–2 against Izhevsk, Oct 8.
Win, 3–2 against Olympia, Oct 6.
Win, 3–2 at Kristall Saratov, after a shootout, Oct 1.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-2

02:34 Goal PPG HC Norilsk: Avramenko I. assists: Shalagin M. 0-1
04:06 Goal HC Norilsk: Klimovich Y. 0-2
11:10 Goal Orsk: Boychuk D. assists: Vasin I. 1-2

2nd period1-0

01:03 Goal SHG Orsk: Bryntsev M. assists: Nikolenko L. 2-2

3rd period1-0

08:17 Goal PPG Orsk: Gimatov E. assists: Ugolnikov I., Vasin I. 3-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

5-game winning streak for HC Norilsk coming into this game.
In goal: Nikitin V. for Orsk (5-2-3 in the last 10 starts), Voityuk V. for HC Norilsk.
Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Orsk +1.5, HC Norilsk +0.1 over their recent games.
4-1-0 in the last five for Orsk.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ORS)	2.32	2.32	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.65	3.65	No change
1X2: 2 (NOR)	2.75	2.75	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Orsk vs HC Norilsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details