Orsk vs Krasnoyarsk prediction
Chance to win · 59% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostOrskodds down 2.00Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.42Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKrasnoyarsk +1.5Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostOrskodds down 1.59Confidence 73%
- Double chanceLostOrsk or drawodds down 1.25Confidence 82%
- Draw no betLostOrskodds down 1.39Confidence 77%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.20Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostOrskodds down 2.37Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 63%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–121%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 0-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 13+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 4, 2026: Krasnoyarsk 0, Orsk 1.
- Oct 14, 2025: Orsk 1, Krasnoyarsk 3.
- Mar 12, 2025: Orsk 1, Krasnoyarsk 3.
- Sep 8, 2024: Krasnoyarsk 3, Orsk 4, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against HC Norilsk, Oct 19. Odds: Orsk 2.32, Norilsk 2.75.
- Win, 2–1 at Kaluga, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.
- Loss, 0–3 at AKM, Oct 10. Odds: AKM 1.80, Orsk 3.45.
- Win, 3–2 at Ryazan, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Win, 4–0 against Bars, Sep 30.
- Loss, 0–6 against Perm, Oct 15. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 3.20, Perm 1.90.
- Win, 2–0 against Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 13. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.99, Toros 2.15.
- Win, 3–2 against Izhevsk, Oct 11. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.22, Izhevsk 2.62.
- Loss, 3–4 against Olympia, Oct 9. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.10, Olympia 2.77.
- Loss, 2–3 at Kristall Saratov, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 15:42 Goal PPG Krasnoyarsk: Rybin I. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 01:17 Goal Orsk: Lapshin I. assists: Boychuk D., Gimatov E. 1-1
3rd period0-2
- 10:41 Goal Krasnoyarsk: Stepanov D. assists: Urulin S., Cherkasov S. 1-2
- 16:53 Goal Krasnoyarsk: Sokolov D. assists: Urulin S., Travin O. 1-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Krasnoyarsk, 1 for Orsk.
- 0-5-0 away for Krasnoyarsk this season.
- In goal: Pastukh V. for Orsk (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Braginsky D. for Krasnoyarsk (2-8-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.6 per game — Orsk +1.5, Krasnoyarsk −1.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Orsk.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ORS) | 1.90 | 1.91 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.77 | 3.73 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (KRA) | 3.59 | 3.60 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Orsk host Krasnoyarsk in the VHL on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.