Perm vs HC Yugra prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 36% in regulation
Gorshkov Y.StartedSV 93.3% · GAA 1.70 · 6-4-0
Sokhatsky V.StartedSV 91.6% · GAA 1.80 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostPermodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonYugra +1.5Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPermodds down 1.71Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonPerm or drawodds down 1.41Confidence 65%
- Draw no betPushPermodds down 1.69Confidence 52%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.19Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.26Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 65%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Perm 2–1
Yugra Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–129%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPerm
HC Yugra
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Perm 1–3
Yugra - Dec 18, 2025: Perm 2, HC Yugra 5.
- Nov 15, 2025: HC Yugra 3, Perm 0.
- Feb 28, 2025: Perm 1, HC Yugra 2, after overtime.
- Sep 22, 2024: HC Yugra 0, Perm 1.
Last five games
Perm
4-1-0 - Win, 5–2 against Rubin Tyumen, Oct 28. Odds: Perm 1.66, Rubin Tyumen 4.60.
- Win, 3–1 against Kurgan, Oct 26. Odds: Perm 1.48, Kurgan 6.20.
- Loss, 2–3 against Omskie Krylia, Oct 24. Odds: Perm 2.43, Omskie Krylia 2.50.
- Win, 5–1 at Dyn. Altay, Oct 19. Odds: Dynamo Altay 3.68, Perm 1.82.
- Win, 2–0 at Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 17. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.81, Perm 3.93.
Yugra
4-1-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 28. Odds: Toros 3.31, Yugra 2.03.
- Win, 5–4 at Izhevsk, Oct 26. Odds: Izhevsk 3.31, Yugra 2.02.
- Win, 4–0 at Olympia, Oct 24. Odds: Olympia 3.16, Yugra 2.02.
- Win, 3–1 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 19. Odds: Yugra 1.68, Kristall 4.40.
- Win, 3–0 against Dizel, Oct 17. Odds: Yugra 2.18, Dizel 3.01.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 17:05 Goal HC Yugra: Gorodetsky B. assists: Gordeyev M., Korobintsev V. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 03:58 Goal Perm: Zenchikov I. assists: Yabelov D., Mikhasyonok V. 1-1
3rd period1-1
- 16:21 Goal Perm: Kolesnikov Y. 2-1
- 19:20 Goal PPG HC Yugra: Shvyryov I. assists: Kirpichnikov A., Misnikov A. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout3-1
-
Round 1
Kolesnikov Y.
✗missed
Sholokhov M.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Zenchikov I.
✓scored
Grishakov A.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Mikhasyonok V.
✓scored
Shvyryov I.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Luttsev R.
✗missed
Pochivalov D.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Opalev R.
✓scored
—
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Gorshkov Y. for Perm (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Sokhatsky V. for HC Yugra (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 8-2-0 at home for Perm this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for HC Yugra.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Perm.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for HC Yugra.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (PER) | 2.33 | 2.52 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.75 | 3.55 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (YUG) | 2.60 | 2.56 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omskie Krylia |
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 |
| 2 |  AKM |
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 |  Almetyevsk |
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 |
| 5 | Perm |
22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 |
| 6 |  Toros Neftekamsk |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 7 |  SKA-VMF St. Petersburg |
20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 |
| 8 |  Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 |
| 9 | HC Yugra |
22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 |
| 10 |  Orsk |
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 |  Khimik |
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 |
| 13 |  Kristall Saratov |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 14 |  Buran Voronezh |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 |
| 15 |  Ryazan |
23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 |
| 16 |  Tambov |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 17 |  Gornyak |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 |
| 18 |  Bars |
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 |
| 19 |  Dinamo St. Petersburg |
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 |
| 20 |  Olympia |
22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 |
| 21 |  Rubin Tyumen |
22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 |
| 22 |  Dyn. Altay |
22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 |
| 23 |  Magnitka Magnitogorsk |
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 24 |  Krasnoyarsk |
23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 |
| 25 |  Dizel |
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 |
| 26 |  Zvezda Moscow |
21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 |
| 27 |  Chelmet Chelyabinsk |
21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 |
| 28 |  Kurgan |
21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 |
| 29 |  Izhevsk |
22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 |
| 30 |  CSK VVS |
21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Perm host HC Yugra in the VHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.