Perm vs Kurgan Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip 1X2 Won

Perm 1.54

Confidence63%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Full game

Best tip of the game: 1X2WonPermodds down 1.54Confidence 63%
Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
HandicapLostKurgan +1.5Confidence 61%
Winner (incl. OT)WonPermodds up 1.27Confidence 76%
Double chanceWonPerm or drawodds up 1.14Confidence 83%
Draw no betWonPerm1.22Confidence 78%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.25Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostPerm2.11Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.49Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Perm 21

Kurgan

Final 3–1

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

PER to winTo win 73% PER won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–16%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 0-1
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 15+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record11-5-04-8-4

Home / road split6-2-03-3-1

StreakL1L1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.81.8

Goals against1.72.9

In the standings5th28th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.4−0.7

Goals for2.62.1

Goals against1.22.8

Shots on goal28.826.8

Shots against24.129.3

Shooting %9.0%7.8%

Save %95.0%90.8%

Power-play %21.2%8.3%

Penalty kill %93.9%81.3%

Faceoff %47.8%44.8%

Penalty minutes6.96.7

Blocked shots10.211.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Perm 31

Kurgan

Perm won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.3 PER 3.0 · KUR 2.3

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 4 All decided in regulation

Dec 22, 2025: Perm 4, Kurgan 3.
Nov 19, 2025: Kurgan 3, Perm 2.
Mar 2, 2025: Perm 3, Kurgan 2.
Sep 20, 2024: Kurgan 1, Perm 3.

Last five games

Perm 3-2-0

Loss, 2–3 against Omskie Krylia, Oct 24. Odds: Perm 2.43, Omskie Krylia 2.50.
Win, 5–1 at Dyn. Altay, Oct 19. Odds: Dynamo Altay 3.68, Perm 1.82.
Win, 2–0 at Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 17. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.81, Perm 3.93.
Win, 6–0 at Krasnoyarsk, Oct 15. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 3.20, Perm 1.90.
Loss, 1–3 at HC Norilsk, Oct 12. Odds: Norilsk 2.50, Perm 2.28.

Kurgan 2-3-0

Loss, 3–4 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
Win, 4–2 at Izhevsk, Oct 22. Odds: Izhevsk 1.91, Kurgan 3.58.
Loss, 1–3 at Olympia, Oct 20. Odds: Olympia 2.15, Kurgan 3.00.
Loss, 2–4 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 15. Odds: Kurgan 2.17, Kristall 2.65.
Win, 4–3 against Dizel, Oct 13. Odds: Kurgan 2.75, Dizel 2.13.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period3-0

04:34 Goal Perm: Shcherbakov P. 1-0
11:51 Goal Perm: Plastinin V. assists: Zenchikov I. 2-0
19:33 Goal Perm: Zenchikov I. assists: Plastinin V., Glukhov N. 3-0

3rd period0-1

15:09 Goal Kurgan: Volgin I. assists: Shipin D. 3-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Meshkovsky G. for Perm (2-2-1 in the last 5 starts), Nikishin M. for Kurgan (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
6-2-0 at home for Perm this season.
Goal differential gap of 2.1 per game — Perm +1.4, Kurgan −0.7 over their recent games.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Perm.
Save % gap: Perm 95.0%, Kurgan 90.8% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (PER)	1.48	1.48	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.33	4.33	No change
1X2: 2 (KUR)	6.20	6.20	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Perm vs Kurgan prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details