Rubin Tyumen vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2LostRubin Tyumenodds down 1.80Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonChelmet +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostRubin Tyumenodds down 1.46Confidence 63%
- Double chanceLostRubin Tyumen or draw1.24Confidence 73%
- Draw no betLostRubin Tyumen1.41Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.16Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–124%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 10, 2026: Rubin Tyumen 1, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3.
- Nov 7, 2025: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3, Rubin Tyumen 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 26, 2025: Rubin Tyumen 0, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 1.
- Oct 25, 2024: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 2, Rubin Tyumen 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–2 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Nov 6. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 2.28, Magnitka 2.72.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Orsk, after a shootout, Nov 3. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 2.45, Orsk 2.45.
- Loss, 2–5 at Perm, Oct 28. Odds: Perm 1.66, Rubin Tyumen 4.60.
- Loss, 1–4 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 26. Odds: Toros 2.24, Rubin Tyumen 2.86.
- Win, 5–2 at Izhevsk, Oct 24. Odds: Izhevsk 2.25, Rubin Tyumen 2.75.
- Win, 5–3 at Kurgan, Nov 6. Odds: Kurgan 2.24, Chelmet 2.71.
- Loss, 1–2 at Omskie Krylia, Nov 4. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.45, Chelmet 5.50.
- Win, 3–1 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 29. Odds: Chelmet 2.26, Dynamo Altay 2.73.
- Loss, 1–3 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 27. Odds: Chelmet 4.29, Novokuznetsk 1.66.
- Loss, 2–3 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 25. Odds: Chelmet 1.89, Krasnoyarsk 3.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 14:26 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Golovnyov Y. assists: Gusmanov F., Eust V. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 01:25 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Telegin N. assists: Mokin M., Tsyplakov G. 0-2
- 10:14 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Zinovyev I. assists: Kovalenko A., Isakov Y. 0-3
3rd period1-1
- 11:52 Goal Rubin Tyumen: Lyutov D. 1-3
- 18:28 Goal ENG Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Gusmanov F. assists: Sharov A. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Rubin Tyumen coming into this game.
- 3-8-1 away for Chelmet Chelyabinsk this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Rubin Tyumen −0.5, Chelmet Chelyabinsk −1.6 over their recent games.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Chelmet Chelyabinsk.
- Save % gap: Rubin Tyumen 90.6%, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 87.3% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (RUB) | 1.87 | 1.85 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.00 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (CHE) | 3.47 | 3.45 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rubin Tyumen host Chelmet Chelyabinsk in the VHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.