Rubin Tyumen vs Orsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Orsk or draw 1.51

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostOrskodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostU5.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
HandicapWonRubin Tyumen +1.5Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)WonOrskodds down 1.90Confidence 55%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonOrsk or drawodds down 1.51Confidence 65%
Draw no betPushOrskConfidence 56%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.52Confidence 64%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Rubin Tyumen 12

Orsk

Final 3–4

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 26% Went to a shootout

ORS to winTo win 53% ORS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–36%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–028%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-8-210-2-6

Home / road split4-3-15-1-3

StreakL2L3

Rest5 days1 day

Goals for2.22.7

Goals against2.72.2

In the standings21st10th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.5+0.1

Goals for2.22.2

Goals against2.72.1

Shots on goal24.024.4

Shots against28.025.0

Shooting %9.2%9.0%

Save %91.1%91.2%

Power-play %3.7%10.7%

Penalty kill %79.5%89.2%

Faceoff %48.4%42.0%

Penalty minutes8.58.0

Blocked shots8.37.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Rubin Tyumen 31

Orsk

Rubin Tyumen won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.0 RUB 2.8 · ORS 1.3

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 4 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Jan 14, 2026: Rubin Tyumen 6, Orsk 1.
Nov 3, 2025: Orsk 1, Rubin Tyumen 2, after overtime.
Jan 28, 2025: Rubin Tyumen 1, Orsk 0.
Oct 23, 2024: Orsk 3, Rubin Tyumen 2, after a shootout.

Last five games

Rubin Tyumen 1-3-1

Loss, 2–5 at Perm, Oct 28. Odds: Perm 1.66, Rubin Tyumen 4.60.
Loss, 1–4 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 26. Odds: Toros 2.24, Rubin Tyumen 2.86.
Win, 5–2 at Izhevsk, Oct 24. Odds: Izhevsk 2.25, Rubin Tyumen 2.75.
Overtime loss, 0–1 at Olympia, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Olympia 2.42, Rubin Tyumen 2.59.
Loss, 1–2 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 17. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 2.10, Kristall 2.99.

Orsk 1-1-3

Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kurgan, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Kurgan 3.06, Orsk 2.12.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Omskie Krylia, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.52, Orsk 5.80.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Dyn. Altay, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Orsk 1.69, Dynamo Altay 4.40.
Win, 2–1 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 23. Odds: Orsk 3.00, Novokuznetsk 2.12.
Loss, 1–3 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 21. Odds: Orsk 1.91, Krasnoyarsk 3.60.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

11:29 Goal Rubin Tyumen: Kartashov A. assists: Ivanov Y. D., Bannikov A. 1-0

2nd period1-3

10:08 Goal Orsk: Boychuk D. assists: Vasin I. 1-1
11:18 Goal Rubin Tyumen: Egorov E. assists: Lyutov D., Popov Y. 2-1
12:39 Goal Orsk: Gimatov E. assists: Lapshin I. 2-2
19:37 Goal PPG Orsk: Pankratov S. assists: Grebenshchikov S. 2-3

3rd period1-0

07:03 Goal PPG Rubin Tyumen: Popov Y. assists: Gorbunov D. 3-3

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout0-1

Round 1 Gorbunov D. missed Gimatov E. scored
Round 2 Kanitsky Y. missed Boychuk D. missed
Round 3 Popov Y. missed Pankratov S. missed
Round 4 Babenko Y. missed Nizovkin M. missed
Round 5 Ivanov Y. D. missed Ugolnikov I. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Surprise in goal: Valiullin S. started for Rubin Tyumen, not Yunin I..
3-game losing streak for Orsk coming into this game.
Rest advantage: 5 days off for Rubin Tyumen, 1 for Orsk.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Rubin Tyumen.
1-3-1 in the last five for Rubin Tyumen.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (RUB)	2.45	2.45	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.50	3.50	No change
1X2: 2 (ORS)	2.45	2.45	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Rubin Tyumen vs Orsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details