SKA-VMF St. Petersburg vs AKM Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.40

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2WonSKA-VMFodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.40Confidence 71%
HandicapLostAKM +1.5Confidence 68%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSKA-VMFodds up 1.65Confidence 58%
Double chanceWonSKA-VMF or draw1.35Confidence 70%
Draw no betWonSKA-VMFodds up 1.63Confidence 61%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.16Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 62%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

SKA-VMF 21

AKM

Final 5–0

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Decided in regulation

SVS to winTo win 57% SVS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min5–06%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–026%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 15+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-4-111-3-5

Home / road split5-1-05-2-4

StreakW2L2

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.73.1

Goals against1.52.3

In the standings—2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+2.0+0.5

Goals for2.72.5

Goals against0.72.0

Shots on goal29.029.3

Shots against23.832.6

Shooting %9.3%8.5%

Save %97.1%93.9%

Power-play %18.2%13.5%

Penalty kill %86.7%83.3%

Faceoff %50.2%46.5%

Penalty minutes6.67.5

Blocked shots13.014.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

SKA-VMF 20

AKM

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg won two of the last two meetings

Goals a gameGoals 3.5 SVS 2.5 · AKM 1.0

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 1 of 2 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 2 All decided in regulation

Jan 16, 2026: AKM 0, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 2.
Nov 5, 2025: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 3, AKM 2.

Last five games

SKA-VMF 4-0-1

Win, 4–0 against Ryazan, Oct 24. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.82, Ryazan 3.68.
Win, 4–0 at Bars, Oct 16. Odds: Bars 3.15, SKA-VMF 1.86.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Almetyevsk, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Almetyevsk 2.10, SKA-VMF 2.75.
Win, 5–0 at CSK VVS, Oct 12. Odds: CSK VVS 3.35, SKA-VMF 1.81.
Win, 3–0 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 5.

AKM 3-0-2

Overtime loss, 1–2 at Dinamo St. Petersburg, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.85, AKM 2.13.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Zvezda Moscow, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.95, AKM 2.14.
Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Khimik 2.01, AKM 3.21.
Win, 4–1 against Gornyak, Oct 16. Odds: AKM 1.92, Gornyak 3.00.
Win, 4–2 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 14. Odds: AKM 1.69, Chelmet 3.60.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

17:20 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Kozhukhov Y. 1-0

2nd period1-0

14:51 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Sorokin Y. assists: Shevchenko D., Zhuravlev Y. 2-0

3rd period3-0

12:29 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Kozhukhov Y. assists: Yarullin A., Barabanov V. 3-0
15:41 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Sorokin Y. assists: Kapchuk S., Shevchenko D. 4-0
16:43 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Gurzanov Y. assists: Busarov G., Yarullin A. 5-0

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Saranchuk G. for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Korzin Y. for AKM (5-2-3 in the last 10 starts).
5-1-0 at home for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg +2.0, AKM +0.5 over their recent games.
−1.9 goals away — AKM averaged 4.1 at home and 2.3 away this season.
4-0-1 in the last five for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SVS)	2.20	2.20	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.72	3.72	No change
1X2: 2 (AKM)	2.89	2.89	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg vs AKM prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details