SKA-VMF St. Petersburg vs Ryazan prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 27% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonSKA-VMFodds down 1.82Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostRyazan +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSKA-VMFodds down 1.46Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonSKA-VMF or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonSKA-VMFodds down 1.37Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.19Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 64%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min4–06%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–027%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 18, 2026: Ryazan 4, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 0.
- Nov 3, 2025: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 5, Ryazan 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–0 at Bars, Oct 16. Odds: Bars 3.15, SKA-VMF 1.86.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Almetyevsk, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Almetyevsk 2.10, SKA-VMF 2.75.
- Win, 5–0 at CSK VVS, Oct 12. Odds: CSK VVS 3.35, SKA-VMF 1.81.
- Win, 3–0 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 5.
- Loss, 0–1 at Khimik, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–3 at Dinamo St. Petersburg, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.15, Ryazan 2.90.
- Win, 3–2 at Zvezda Moscow, Oct 20. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.33, Ryazan 2.71.
- Loss, 1–5 at Khimik, Oct 18. Odds: Khimik 1.68, Ryazan 4.40.
- Win, 5–3 against Gornyak, Oct 14. Odds: Ryazan 2.55, Gornyak 2.26.
- Win, 8–0 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 12. Odds: Ryazan 2.08, Chelmet 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 01:15 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Barabanov V. assists: Kazakov M., Shekhovtsov Y. 1-0
- 16:48 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Filippov A. assists: Kozhukhov Y., Shekhovtsov Y. 2-0
2nd period2-0
- 01:33 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Kabush M. assists: Filippov A., Gurzanov Y. 3-0
- 18:34 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Filippov A. assists: Barabanov V. 4-0
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, 1 for Ryazan.
- In goal: Saranchuk G. for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Botov M. for Ryazan (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg +1.5, Ryazan +0.3 over their recent games.
- −1.5 goals away — Ryazan averaged 3.1 at home and 1.6 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SVS) | 1.82 | 1.82 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RYA) | 3.68 | 3.68 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg host Ryazan in the VHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.