Tambov vs Toros Neftekamsk prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonTorosodds down 2.37Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.37Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTambov +1.5Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonToros1.81Confidence 53%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonToros or drawodds down 1.45Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonToros1.80Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.16Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.33Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–025%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 12, 2026: Tambov 4, Toros Neftekamsk 2.
- Nov 8, 2025: Toros Neftekamsk 2, Tambov 3, after a shootout.
- Feb 22, 2025: Tambov 2, Toros Neftekamsk 3, after a shootout.
- Sep 28, 2024: Toros Neftekamsk 1, Tambov 4.
Last five games
- Win, 5–1 against Izhevsk, Nov 3. Odds: Tambov 2.10, Izhevsk 2.80.
- Win, 4–2 against Olympia, Oct 30. Odds: Tambov 2.39, Olympia 2.64.
- Loss, 2–3 at Kristall Saratov, Oct 25. Odds: Kristall 2.33, Tambov 2.58.
- Win, 2–1 at Dizel, Oct 23. Odds: Dizel 1.90, Tambov 3.57.
- Loss, 1–6 at HC Yugra, Oct 15. Odds: Yugra 1.77, Tambov 3.50.
- Win, 2–0 at Buran Voronezh, Nov 4. Odds: Buran Voronezh 2.20, Toros 2.75.
- Win, 5–2 against HC Yugra, Oct 28. Odds: Toros 3.31, Yugra 2.03.
- Win, 4–1 against Rubin Tyumen, Oct 26. Odds: Toros 2.24, Rubin Tyumen 2.86.
- Win, 4–3 against Kurgan, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
- Loss, 0–2 against Omskie Krylia, Oct 22. Odds: Toros 3.53, Omskie Krylia 1.92.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 11:12 Goal Tambov: Didkovsky A. assists: Artamonov N., Vikharev D. 1-0
- 17:19 Goal Tambov: Balashov M. assists: Alshevsky A., Vikharev D. 2-0
2nd period1-2
- 05:59 Goal PPG Tambov: Polyakov V. assists: Didkovsky A., Marin M. 3-0
- 14:41 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Skoropad N. assists: Valeyev T., Kuzmin G. 3-1
- 17:04 Goal PPG Toros Neftekamsk: Sedantsov O. assists: Sidlyarov D., Khvorov N. 3-2
3rd period1-3
- 01:54 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Valeyev T. assists: Chyorny A., Gunkin Y. 3-3
- 05:27 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Sedantsov O. assists: Akhsyanov B., Pykhtin D. 3-4
- 12:23 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Sidlyarov D. assists: Filyayev V. 3-5
- 17:21 Goal PPG Tambov: Paigin Z. assists: Didkovsky A. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Toros Neftekamsk coming into this game.
- 8-0-1 at home for Tambov this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Tambov.
- 5.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 16th vs 6th in the VHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TAM) | 2.47 | 2.46 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.86 | 3.85 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (TOR) | 2.45 | 2.42 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tambov host Toros Neftekamsk in the VHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.