Toros Neftekamsk vs HC Yugra Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U5.5 1.29

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostYugraodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU5.5odds up 1.29Confidence 71%
HandicapWonToros +1.5Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostYugraodds down 1.57Confidence 62%
Double chanceLostYugra or drawodds down 1.28Confidence 73%
Draw no betLostYugraConfidence 65%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.47Confidence 66%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Toros 12

Yugra

Final 5–2

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Decided in regulation

YUG to winTo win 61% TOR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min5–26%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–129%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-6-311-6-0

Home / road split5-4-25-4-0

StreakW2W5

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.32.4

Goals against2.31.4

In the standings6th9th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.2+1.3

Goals for1.82.7

Goals against2.01.4

Shots on goal27.128.7

Shots against27.524.1

Shooting %6.6%9.4%

Save %93.1%94.6%

Power-play %16.2%15.4%

Penalty kill %82.9%89.1%

Faceoff %51.7%42.6%

Penalty minutes7.611.9

Blocked shots6.610.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Toros 13

Yugra

HC Yugra won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 3.5 TOR 0.8 · YUG 2.8

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 1 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in overtime

Dec 24, 2025: Toros Neftekamsk 0, HC Yugra 3.
Nov 17, 2025: HC Yugra 4, Toros Neftekamsk 0.
Mar 4, 2025: Toros Neftekamsk 0, HC Yugra 2.
Sep 18, 2024: HC Yugra 2, Toros Neftekamsk 3, after overtime.

Last five games

Toros 3-1-1

Win, 4–1 against Rubin Tyumen, Oct 26. Odds: Toros 2.24, Rubin Tyumen 2.86.
Win, 4–3 against Kurgan, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
Loss, 0–2 against Omskie Krylia, Oct 22. Odds: Toros 3.53, Omskie Krylia 1.92.
Win, 2–1 at Dyn. Altay, Oct 17. Odds: Dynamo Altay 2.84, Toros 2.22.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Metallurg Novokuznetsk, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.58, Toros 4.20.

Yugra 5-0-0

Win, 5–4 at Izhevsk, Oct 26. Odds: Izhevsk 3.31, Yugra 2.02.
Win, 4–0 at Olympia, Oct 24. Odds: Olympia 3.16, Yugra 2.02.
Win, 3–1 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 19. Odds: Yugra 1.68, Kristall 4.40.
Win, 3–0 against Dizel, Oct 17. Odds: Yugra 2.18, Dizel 3.01.
Win, 6–1 against Tambov, Oct 15. Odds: Yugra 1.77, Tambov 3.50.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

02:53 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Sedantsov O. assists: Khafzetdinov A. 1-0
05:23 Goal PPG HC Yugra: Baranov Y. assists: Pochivalov D., Grishakov A. 1-1

2nd period3-1

01:22 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Korbit P. assists: Volokitin P. 2-1
05:32 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Filyayev V. assists: Faizov A., Pykhtin D. 3-1
09:13 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Sidlyarov D. assists: Sedantsov O. 4-1
15:53 Goal HC Yugra: Osipov G. 4-2

3rd period1-0

11:39 Goal PPG Toros Neftekamsk: Gurkin Y. assists: Korbit P., Khafzetdinov A. 5-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

5-game winning streak for HC Yugra coming into this game.
In goal: Bai Y. for Toros Neftekamsk (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Sokhatsky V. for HC Yugra (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Toros Neftekamsk −0.2, HC Yugra +1.3 over their recent games.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for HC Yugra.
3.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TOR)	3.29	3.31	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	3.63	3.64	Drifted
1X2: 2 (YUG)	2.04	2.03	Shortened
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Toros Neftekamsk vs HC Yugra prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details