Toros Neftekamsk vs Rubin Tyumen prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonTorosodds down 2.35Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.51.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostRubin Tyumen +1.5Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTorosodds down 1.73Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonToros or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonToros1.70Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.26Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.47Confidence 63%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min4–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–128%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 17+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 26, 2025: Toros Neftekamsk 2, Rubin Tyumen 0.
- Nov 19, 2025: Rubin Tyumen 3, Toros Neftekamsk 2.
- Mar 2, 2025: Toros Neftekamsk 2, Rubin Tyumen 4.
- Sep 20, 2024: Rubin Tyumen 4, Toros Neftekamsk 5, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Kurgan, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
- Loss, 0–2 against Omskie Krylia, Oct 22. Odds: Toros 3.53, Omskie Krylia 1.92.
- Win, 2–1 at Dyn. Altay, Oct 17. Odds: Dynamo Altay 2.84, Toros 2.22.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Metallurg Novokuznetsk, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.58, Toros 4.20.
- Loss, 0–2 at Krasnoyarsk, Oct 13. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.99, Toros 2.15.
- Win, 5–2 at Izhevsk, Oct 24. Odds: Izhevsk 2.25, Rubin Tyumen 2.75.
- Overtime loss, 0–1 at Olympia, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Olympia 2.42, Rubin Tyumen 2.59.
- Loss, 1–2 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 17. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 2.10, Kristall 2.99.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Dizel, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 3.15, Dizel 1.89.
- Win, 3–2 against Tambov, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 2.03, Tambov 3.21.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 10:43 Goal PPG Toros Neftekamsk: Gurkin Y. assists: Valeyev T. 1-0
- 17:14 Goal PPG Toros Neftekamsk: Valeyev T. assists: Gurkin Y., Faizov A. 2-0
- 19:27 Goal Rubin Tyumen: Fedotov A. 2-1
2nd period1-0
- 10:19 Goal PPG Toros Neftekamsk: Sidlyarov D. assists: Korbit P. 3-1
3rd period1-0
- 14:19 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Sedantsov O. assists: Gurkin Y., Sidlyarov D. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Yelin I. for Toros Neftekamsk (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Valiullin S. for Rubin Tyumen (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 5.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 6th vs 21st in the VHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOR) | 2.24 | 2.24 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.65 | 3.65 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RUB) | 2.86 | 2.86 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Toros Neftekamsk host Rubin Tyumen in the VHL on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.