Zvezda Moscow vs AKM Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

AKM or draw 1.36

Confidence74%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostAKModds down 2.10Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
HandicapWonZvezda Moscow +1.5Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostAKModds down 1.62Confidence 64%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonAKM or drawodds down 1.36Confidence 74%
Draw no betPushAKModds up 1.57Confidence 67%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonAKModds up 2.60Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Zvezda Moscow 23

AKM

Final 4–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Went to overtime

AKM to winTo win 63% ZVE won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–35%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–119%chance
Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-1, 1-1, 1-1
Likeliest 2-3 (5%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 15+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-9-111-3-3

Home / road split2-5-15-2-2

StreakL2W3

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.33.2

Goals against3.22.2

In the standings26th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.5+1.0

Goals for2.43.1

Goals against2.92.1

Shots on goal32.930.8

Shots against28.632.6

Shooting %7.3%10.1%

Save %90.2%93.6%

Power-play %15.2%18.2%

Penalty kill %80.8%89.2%

Faceoff %48.9%48.6%

Penalty minutes5.27.7

Blocked shots17.913.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Zvezda Moscow 13

AKM

AKM won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 ZVE 1.8 · AKM 3.3

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in overtime

Mar 12, 2026: AKM 4, Zvezda Moscow 1.
Sep 3, 2025: Zvezda Moscow 1, AKM 2.
Dec 14, 2024: AKM 6, Zvezda Moscow 3.
Dec 2, 2024: Zvezda Moscow 2, AKM 1, after overtime.

Last five games

Zvezda Moscow 2-3-0

Loss, 2–3 against Ryazan, Oct 20. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.33, Ryazan 2.71.
Loss, 2–5 at Bars, Oct 12. Odds: Bars 2.11, Zvezda Moscow 2.70.
Win, 5–3 at Almetyevsk, Oct 10. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.65, Zvezda Moscow 4.00.
Win, 3–2 at CSK VVS, Oct 8.
Loss, 2–4 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 2.

AKM 4-1-0

Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Khimik 2.01, AKM 3.21.
Win, 4–1 against Gornyak, Oct 16. Odds: AKM 1.92, Gornyak 3.00.
Win, 4–2 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 14. Odds: AKM 1.69, Chelmet 3.60.
Loss, 2–3 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 12. Odds: AKM 1.78, Magnitka 3.40.
Win, 3–0 against Orsk, Oct 10. Odds: AKM 1.80, Orsk 3.45.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

07:18 Goal AKM: Yermakov Y. assists: Trishin A., Khanin M. 0-1

2nd period1-1

03:00 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Matveiko Y. assists: Rusakov A., Malyshev A. 1-1
18:37 Goal AKM: Yermakov Y. assists: Suvorov A. 1-2

3rd period2-1

10:51 Goal PPG AKM: Rakhimullin D. assists: Mingaleyev D., Rozhkov N. A. 1-3
16:06 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Grushnikov A. assists: Savvateyev V., Averochkin M. 2-3
19:32 Goal PPG Zvezda Moscow: Tochilkin A. assists: Bryutov Y., Vlasenko D. 3-3

Overtime1-0

00:22 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Vlasenko D. 4-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game winning streak for AKM coming into this game.
2-5-1 at home for Zvezda Moscow this season.
In goal: Tabatchikov V. for Zvezda Moscow (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Kanarsky I. for AKM (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Zvezda Moscow −0.5, AKM +1.0 over their recent games.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for AKM.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ZVE)	2.95	2.95	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.79	3.79	No change
1X2: 2 (AKM)	2.14	2.14	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Zvezda Moscow vs AKM prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details