Zvezda Moscow vs Kaluga Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.34

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostKalugaodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.34Confidence 71%
HandicapWonZvezda Moscow +1.5Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKalugaodds down 1.74Confidence 61%
Double chanceWonKaluga or drawodds down 1.35Confidence 71%
Draw no betPushKalugaodds down 1.62Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.17Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.51Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Zvezda Moscow 12

Kaluga

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Went to overtime

KAL to winTo win 58% ZVE won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min2–25%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–226%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 16+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-9-110-3-3

Home / road split3-5-17-1-1

StreakW1W1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.42.2

Goals against3.21.6

In the standings26th—

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.4+0.9

Goals for2.62.4

Goals against3.01.5

Shots on goal31.826.0

Shots against28.027.4

Shooting %8.2%9.2%

Save %89.6%94.5%

Power-play %18.2%12.5%

Penalty kill %84.0%93.9%

Faceoff %55.7%48.8%

Penalty minutes5.06.9

Blocked shots18.29.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Zvezda Moscow 3-2-0

Win, 4–3 against AKM, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.95, AKM 2.14.
Loss, 2–3 against Ryazan, Oct 20. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.33, Ryazan 2.71.
Loss, 2–5 at Bars, Oct 12. Odds: Bars 2.11, Zvezda Moscow 2.70.
Win, 5–3 at Almetyevsk, Oct 10. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.65, Zvezda Moscow 4.00.
Win, 3–2 at CSK VVS, Oct 8.

Kaluga 3-1-1

Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Khimik 1.75, Kaluga 4.10.
Loss, 1–3 against Gornyak, Oct 18. Odds: Kaluga 2.24, Gornyak 2.90.
Win, 5–1 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 16. Odds: Kaluga 2.02, Chelmet 2.95.
Win, 3–1 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 14. Odds: Kaluga 2.17, Magnitka 2.70.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Orsk, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

03:16 Goal Kaluga: Kolomiytsev I. assists: Yusupov V., Ignatov S. 0-1
12:09 Goal Kaluga: Maltsev A. assists: Veryovkin M., Mitrofanov A. 0-2

2nd period1-0

10:08 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Bryutov Y. assists: Tochilkin A., Gusniyev A. 1-2

3rd period1-0

06:21 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Matveiko Y. assists: Yapparov Y. 2-2

Overtime1-0

00:53 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Bryutov Y. assists: Vlasenko D. 3-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Tabatchikov V. for Zvezda Moscow (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Vladychek A. for Kaluga (4-0-3 in the last 7 starts).
7-1-1 away for Kaluga this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Zvezda Moscow −0.4, Kaluga +0.9 over their recent games.
Save % gap: Zvezda Moscow 89.6%, Kaluga 94.5% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ZVE)	2.77	2.77	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.84	3.84	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	2.25	2.25	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Zvezda Moscow vs Kaluga prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details